Mutsetse mukuru wemabhazi emagetsi eChina muna 2026 ndewekuti: musika uchachinja kubva pakubhadhara mari yerubatsiro kuenda kuTCO, mabhatiri e800V ane voltage yepamusoro uye anogara kwenguva refu achava akajairwa, hunyanzvi hwekuchengetedza huchashandiswa, kugadzirisa mamiriro ezvinhu kuchaputika, kuchinjana mabhatiri uye kutengeserana kweV2G kuchasimudzirwa, kutengeswa kwezvinhu zvemhando yepamusoro kuchaitwa, uye manejimendi yekupisa ichavandudzwa zvizere. Heano maitiro ari kuitika parizvino uye anogona kushandiswa muna 2026, akapatsanurwa nemodule.
1, Musika wemusika: kuwedzera kudiki kwehuwandu hwese, shanduko huru dzechimiro, kutonga kweTCO
Kutengesa nehukuru: Zvinotarisirwa kuti pachava nemabhazi matsva emagetsi anosvika 82000 ane hurefu hwemamita matanhatu panosvika gore ra2026 (+3.5%), ane hukuru hwemusika hwemayuan 48-55 bhiriyoni; Magetsi akachena anodarika 92%, uye huwandu hwemagetsi anopinda mukutakura kwevanhu huri pedyo ne100%.
Kuchinja kweinjini yekukura: Siyana nerubatsiro rwemari, * * TCO yemakore mashanu yakaderera 25% -35% pane mota dzedhiziri * * inova ndiyo inonyanya kutengeswa; Musiyano wemutengo pakati pemafuta nemagetsi, kugadziriswa kushoma, kukosha kwemabhatiri, uye mabhenefiti ekabhoni zvinoumba denderedzwa rakavharwa.
Kusiyanisa kwechimiro:
Kutakurwa kwevanhu vakawanda (10-12 metres): kutsiva zvinhu zviripo ndiyo nzira huru, nekukura kuri kuderera.
Pakati nepakati (mamita 8-10) uye chiedza (mamita 6-8): kukura kwakanyanya (kunoumba 39.6%), kunotarisa pakutakura vanhu mumaguta nemumaruwa, mabhazi ekushanya, kufamba netsoka kwakagadzirirwa iwe, uye mabasa emabhazi epaki/ndege.
Kuvandudzwa kwehuwandu hwemotokari dzinotakura mota: Yutong, BYD, neCRRC Electric vane musika wepamusoro pe70%, uye makambani madiki nepakati ari kukurumidza kubvisa mota dzavo.
2, Tekinoroji yebhatiri: Hupenyu hurefu, kuchengetedzeka kwakanyanya, mamiriro akaomarara ekushandiswa mubhodhi
Magadzirirwo akajairwa emagetsi emota ane hupenyu hwakafanana: mwero mukuru unosanganisira lithium iron phosphate (LFP) yemakiromita gumi nemashanu / 1.5 miriyoni makiromita, ine hupenyu hwakafanana nemota yese, isina mabhatiri ekutsiva hupenyu hwese, uye TCO yakagadziriswa zvakanyanya.
Kuwedzera kwesimba:
Mhando dzemhando yepamusoro: Mabhatiri emhando yepamusoro anoiswa muzvikamu zvidiki, ane simba re180-220Wh/kg uye daro re500-600km.
Rudzi rwekufarirwa: LFP yakagadziridzwa kusvika pa160Wh/kg, ine huwandu hwe400-450km pamabhazi ane 12 metres.
Mitemo yakasimba yekuchengetedza yakaitwa: hapana bhatiri rinopararira nekupisa, manejimendi yekupisa yepasi rose, yambiro yeAI yekumhanya kwekupisa; kumhanya kwesero rimwe chete hakupararire uye kunosangana nemitemo yenyika yakaoma.
Kuderedzwa kwemutengo: Avhareji yemutengo wemabheteri eLFP i ≤ 550 yuan/kWh, uye mutengo wekutenga unoderedzwa kusvika mukati me1.3 nguva yemota dzedhiziri.
3, Sisitimu yekuzadza simba: inonyanya kuenderana nekuchaja nekukurumidza kwe800V, kuchinjana kwemabhatiri kwakakura, mutyairi weV2G
Puratifomu yemagetsi e800V ine voltage yakakwira inova yakakurumbira:
Muna 2026, chikamu chemota itsva dzine 800V chichava ≥ 60%, uye simba rekuchaja richava 350-500kW.
Inochaja kusvika 80% mumaminitsi gumi, ichizadza simba remakiromita mazana matatu, ichienzaniswa nekushanda kwakasimba.
**Chitofu chefirimu chine simba guru (HVCH)* * Inotsiva PTC zvizere, ichishanda zvakanaka ≥ 95%, mhinduro
Nzvimbo dzekutsinhana mabhatiri dzinopfuura 1800, dzinofukidza 85% yemaguta ari padanho redunhu; mabhatiri anotsiva mabhatiri kwemaminitsi matatu kusvika mashanu, anoshanda zviri nani kupfuura mota dzepeturu.
Kutarisa pamigwagwa mikuru yemotokari, kutakurwa kwevatakuri vemumaguta nekumaruwa, nhandare dzendege/mapaki; kupatsanurwa kwemagetsi emotokari dzeBaaS kunoderedza mukana wekutenga mota (ne30% -40%).
Kuedza kwekutengesa kweV2G: Maguta gumi anosanganisira Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, neShenzhen achaedza mabhazi emagetsi senzvimbo yekuchengetedza simba rekufambisa kuti vatore chikamu mukuchekerera kwegrid, nekuwedzera kwegore negore kwe20000 kusvika 30000 yuan pamotokari imwe neimwe.
Kukurumbira kwenzvimbo dzekuchengetera nedzokuchaja dze photovoltaic dzakabatanidzwa: photovoltaic+energy storage+fast charging, kuderedza mari yekuchaja ne20% -30%, uye kuderedza kumanikidzwa kwemagetsi.
4, Uchenjeri: Kuchengetedzwa kutanga, L2 + standard configuration, kutyaira kaviri uye kudzora kaviri
Kuvandudzwa kwezvivakwa zvekuchengetedza: kutyaira kwemotokari mbiri uye kudzora kwemotokari mbiri (zvikurukuru kunokurudzirwa neYutong):
Inotungamirirwa nemuchina, inotariswa nevanhu, iri online zvizere, haimbofi yakarega; Mutyairi anofanira kutanga atora basa rake kudzivirira njodzi yeku "kupindira mune emergency mushure mekukundikana".
Kuongororwa kwemamiriyoni emakiromita kwakaunganidzwa, chiyero chemhando itsva muna 2026.
Magadzirirwo akajairwa echikamu cheL2: mwero wekubatanidza * * ≥ 65%, kusanganisira ACC, AEB, kuchengetedza nzira, kutarisa kwemutyairi weDMS, maonero akakomberedza e360 ° * *.
Kumhara kwenzvimbo yeL3/L4: BRT yepaki yakavharwa, Kushanda kwemabhazi ekufambisa panhandare yendege; Mutyairi wendege L3 wekutakura vanhu munzira huru, nekutyaira kwevanhu nemuchina senzira huru, anoramba kuti L5 isashandiswa nevanhu zvachose.
Kubatanidzwa kwegore remotokari: Kutarisira zvikepe zveAI, kutarisa panguva chaiyo, kugadzirisa zvinofanotaurwa, kugadzirisa simba, kuronga hurongwa zvine hungwaru, kuvandudza kushanda zvakanaka kwe15% -20%.
5,Kutarisira mota nekupisa: yakareruka, yakabatana, ine voltage yakawanda
Huremu hwakareruka: Kushandiswa kukuru kwealuminium alloy, carbon fiber, uye simbi yakasimba, kuderedza huremu ne10% -25% uye kushandiswa kwesimba ne8% -15%; Huremu hwemugero wemamita gumi nemaviri * * ≤ matani gumi nemaviri * *.
Kubatanidzwa kwemagetsi ane simba guru: kusimudzira kwakazara kubva pa400V kusvika pa800V, kusanganisira mota nemagetsi ekudzora DC/DC 、 Kubatanidzwa kwemagetsi ane simba guru kunoderedza vhoriyamu ne30% uye kunowedzera kushanda zvakanaka ne5% -8%.
Chinjo Yekutarisira Kupisa (Kiyi):
Kubatanidzwa kwechina mune chimwe chinhu: bhatiri + mota + kutonga kwemagetsi + manejimendi yekupisa kwekabhini, kudzoreredza kupisa kwemarara kwakabatana, kudziyisa pakupisa kushoma, uye kudziyisa kupisa pakupisa kwakanyanya.
Kupisa kwefirimu rine simba guru reHVCH: kwakajairika papuratifomu ye800V, kuchitsiva PTC yechinyakare, nekushanda zvakanaka kwe ≥ 95%, hupenyu hurefu, mhinduro nekukurumidza, uye kudzikiswa kwe10% -15% mukushandiswa kwesimba pakupisa kushoma.
Kutonhodza nekupisa zvakananga kwebhatiri: kurongeka kwekudzora tembiricha * * ± 1 ℃, hupenyu hwese hunowedzera ne20% * *.
6. Mamiriro ezvinhu akavakirwa pa: Kubva kune zvakajairika kusvika kune zvakakosha, zvakakamurwa uye zvinoputika
Kutakurwa kwevanhu mumaguta nemumaruwa: Mota dzakareruka dzemamita matanhatu kusvika masere dzine mutengo wakakwira, dzinofamba daro refu, dzinokwanisa kukwira nekusimba, dzichibatanidza "maira ekupedzisira".
Bhazi revashanyi: 8-12 metres, bhatiri rakakura (400-500kWh), daro refu (500km+), nyaradzo yakanyanya (mhepo inomiswa, yakanyarara).
Kufamba netsoka/kufambisa ngarava dzemakambani zvakagadziriswa: kuchengetedzeka kwakanyanya, kushandiswa kwesimba shoma, kuronga nguva zvine hungwaru, tichitarisa paTCO yakanaka.
Chifambiso chendege/paki/nzvimbo ine hunyanzvi: 6-8 metres, kushanduka kwakawanda, kukosha kwekutsinhana mabhatiri, L2+akangwara.
7, Export: Kubva pamutengo wakaderera kusvika pakubuda kwemhando yepamusoro
Kukura kukuru kwekutengesa kunze kwenyika: Inotarisirwa kutumira kunze motokari dzinosvika 20000 (+15%) panosvika gore ra2026, zvichiita kuti ipfuure 25% yezvese zvakatengeswa.
Maumbirwo emusika:
Europe: Bhazi remhando yepamusoro remamita gumi nemaviri rebhazi/bhazi revashanyi, 800V, rakachengeteka zvakanyanya, rakangwara, rine mutengo weyuniti we300000 kusvika 500000 euros.
Maodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweAsia/Middle East/Latin America: mhando dzinodhura zvishoma, 6-10 metres LFP 、 Nguva refu yehupenyu.
Kuvandudzwa kwemodhi: kubva pakutengeswa kwemotokari kunze kwenyika → kuvakwa kwefekitori yeKD → kugadzirwa kwetekinoroji → mashandiro emhando; Yutong neBYD zvava zvibodzwa zvepasi rose.
8. Mitemo nemirau: Mitemo yakasimba yekuchengetedza, kudzika kwekabhoni mbiri, uye kudzokorodza zvinhu zvakareruka
Mitemo yenyika inosungirwa kuchengetedza: yambiro yekupisa kwebhatiri, kudziviswa kwekupararira kwekupisa, kuchengetedzeka kwemagetsi ane simba guru; Mitemo yakasimba kwazvo pasi rose yekudzivirira moto, kuputika, uye kubuda kwemvura mumotokari.
Kushandiswa kwekabhoni mbiri: chinangwa che100% yehuwandu hwemagetsi ekufambisa veruzhinji; Kutengeserana kwekabhoni uye kudzikiswa kwemagetsi anodzivirira zvakatipoteredza zvinowedzera kushanda zvakanaka kwehupfumi.
Kudzokorodza mabhatiri: kushandiswa kwemabhatiri kuri kuwedzera + kugadzirwazve kwezvinhu zvakura, kuwedzera kukosha kwemabhatiri ne15% -20%, zvichideredza TCO zvakanyanya.
Nguva yekutumira: Chivabvu-28-2026
